Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001178 0.001238 0.001300 0.001367 0.001439 0.001514 0.001598
2025-07-13 0.001060 0.001144 0.001233 0.001334 0.001447 0.001569 0.001711
2025-07-20 0.000996 0.001097 0.001208 0.001338 0.001488 0.001654 0.001856
2025-07-27 0.000949 0.001064 0.001192 0.001347 0.001529 0.001738 0.001998
2025-08-03 0.000915 0.001042 0.001185 0.001362 0.001575 0.001827 0.002149
2025-08-10 0.000877 0.001011 0.001166 0.001360 0.001599 0.001887 0.002266
2025-08-17 0.000830 0.000966 0.001127 0.001330 0.001586 0.001899 0.002321
2025-08-24 0.000793 0.000933 0.001098 0.001312 0.001585 0.001925 0.002392
2025-08-31 0.000770 0.000913 0.001086 0.001313 0.001606 0.001979 0.002501
2025-09-07 0.000741 0.000886 0.001063 0.001298 0.001606 0.002004 0.002572
2025-09-14 0.000716 0.000863 0.001044 0.001287 0.001610 0.002034 0.002649
2025-09-21 0.000693 0.000842 0.001026 0.001276 0.001613 0.002062 0.002724
2025-09-28 0.000668 0.000817 0.001005 0.001262 0.001613 0.002089 0.002806
2025-10-05 0.000638 0.000786 0.000973 0.001232 0.001592 0.002086 0.002843
2025-10-12 0.000623 0.000773 0.000966 0.001236 0.001616 0.002147 0.002978
2025-10-19 0.000611 0.000764 0.000962 0.001244 0.001646 0.002217 0.003130
2025-10-26 0.000601 0.000758 0.000963 0.001258 0.001684 0.002302 0.003310
2025-11-02 0.000587 0.000745 0.000953 0.001256 0.001700 0.002353 0.003439
2025-11-09 0.000565 0.000720 0.000926 0.001229 0.001677 0.002344 0.003470
2025-11-16 0.000547 0.000701 0.000908 0.001213 0.001669 0.002357 0.003537
2025-11-23 0.000537 0.000692 0.000901 0.001213 0.001686 0.002409 0.003673
2025-11-30 0.000522 0.000676 0.000885 0.001200 0.001681 0.002426 0.003750
2025-12-07 0.000509 0.000662 0.000872 0.001190 0.001681 0.002451 0.003839